Despite an exceeding year with immense cost increases for energy , feed , and fertiliser , many agricultural sector are still holding their own this year . Indeed , in many pillow slip , gross revenue prices of agricultural products have risen enough to right for the higher costs . Across the agricultural sphere as a whole , volumes are expected to fall by 2 percentage this year , but difference of opinion between subsectors are high . In greenhouse horticulture , in particular , production has declined . In 2023 , a slight drop in demand due to downcast purchasing power could put pressure on margins , ABN AMRO concludes in itsAgricultural Sector Forecast 2022 - 2023 .
Subsector bode : cosmetic plant cultivation , greenhouse veggie finish , dairy farm agriculture , domestic fowl farming ( meat ) , poultry farming ( eggs ) , pig agriculture , arable farming
A very sharp contraction ( -20 percent ) is also in aspect for ornamental industrial plant cultivation in 2023Ornamental plant finish and glasshouse horticulture , for instance , raise much less than in previous twelvemonth . In decorative plant finish , due to low-spirited buying king , volumes are probable to fall 10 percent this class and 20 percent in 2023 . ABN AMRO stresses that the forecasts are palisade by many uncertainties . In greenhouse horticulture ( -7 percent ) , many troupe have adjusted their cultivation scheme , bringing Cartesian product to market later . There is then a deficit in wintertime , while there is a endangerment of surplus in summer . Costs also stay high for livestock husbandry in 2023 ; until now , many operators have been able to compensate with higher prices for product such as nut and poultry substance . Leontyne Price for Milk River are even historically high . This was due to lower Milk River provision ; production fell by 1 pct in the first one-half of 2022 . In pig farming , gamey feed , energy , and labor monetary value put pressure level on margins . This sector is fight more than the other subsectors to maintain adequate returns . Arable farming ( +4 pct ) performed well , partly due to just - than - expected harvest and favorable price ; according to ABN AMRO , static maturation of volume is on the celestial horizon for 2023 .
2023 is an uncertain class due to declining buy powerAlthough performance varies by section , the agricultural sector manage to hold up well this year . At the same clock time , cost continue high in 2023 , and there will be more pressure on prices , which could make it a ambitious year for many granger . " Due to lower buying power , we see many businesses stumbling at the terminal point of what consumers are uncoerced to pay . low demand from key supplier country and from Dutch consumers could ultimately put pressure on prices throughout the food chain , " say Nadia Menkveld , Sector Economist of Agricultural and Food at ABN AMRO . " Although toll step-up seem to be past their peak , for many society , the interrogation is whether they can continue to pass on these costs . Food is , in rationale , cyclically insensitive , but purchasing power is under pressure , and consumer will pay more attention to price and base their choice on this on the supermarket shelf . This involve the entire food chain and can put pressure on margins . In horticulture and greenhouse land , it may be profitable to resell electrical energy to the storage-battery grid instead of illume crop in winter . In pig agriculture , we see companies that have invested in solar dialog box , rut exchangers , or other vitality - efficient solutions benefiting . In arable agriculture too , more and more farmers are wait at put in sustainable solution , for exercise , to retain water and water more efficiently . "
For more info : Nadia Menkveld , Sector Econoom Agrarisch en FoodABN AMROTel . : +31 ( 0 ) 6 13 54 51 47Email:[email protected ]
