The current high prices of vigour and raw materials have prompted nursery horticulturalists to imbibe up various ( culture ) scenarios for the coming winter . The government activity ’s ( myopic - term ) mensuration , the uncertain pricing of products , and the shortage of personnel are also contributing factors . All in all , Rabobank foreshadow in an depth psychology that there will be a tense winter forward . The bank say that ' fortunately , the situation so far in 2022 is still accomplishable for most businesses .
temper in horticulture remains stableThe Rabo Horticulture Barometer remain almost unaltered in the third twenty-five percent ( see Figure 1 ) . Although the knifelike decline seen in the second one-fourth has been confirmed , the mood has not drop further . The level is still around six on a scale of measurement of 1 to 10 . In ecumenical , the sector is quite affirmative in the retentive terminal figure .
public figure 1 : answer from the horticultural barometer 2018 - 2022
" Admirably originative with energy management"Energy is the keyword for greenhouse horticulture . Horticulturalists are admirably creative in optimizing their vigor direction , the depository financial institution remark . They save vigour and generate income from extra electrical energy . This buffer some of the blow . On average , this seems to work well for greenhouse horticulture than for ornamental horticulture . On average , greenhouse gardening party are somewhat larger and more often have several choice for managing their energy as well as potential . This includes shifting polish , shift between a boiler or coalesce heat energy and power ( CHP ) , using lighting or not , gas and electricity contracts , and more .
But the item-by-item differences are magnanimous . This is also evident in the gap of the Barometer outcome . In the retiring two one-quarter , this is clearly greater than before . The mood in the glasshouse sector is clearly worse than in the open field .
The gaseous state leverage is still covered to a enceinte extent for many , but of course , the variable part is increasing . Because of international competition , the increased costs can only be passed on to customers for part of the intersection and entrepreneurs .
The government is now work on a plan for next winter to reduce gas consumption and even switch companies off . Glastuinbouw Nederland is in talking on this with the Ministries of Economic Affairs and Climate Change and of Agriculture , Nature , and Food Quality . At the petition of these parties , Rabobank is involve in the talks . It is as of yet unclear when a scheme will be ready . The rector wants to inform the Lower House about the plan in other October .
investment funds in sustainability are put forwardA variation on the program line " Never ravage a good crisis " is attributed to Winston Churchill . Freely translated : What can the crisis give us ? What can we memorize from the current tense energy market ?
The bank psychoanalyst betoken to the " Trias Energetica " as proclaimed in the construction industry :
First of all , reduction of fuel use is of slap-up grandness . Entrepreneurs can think about using ' Het Nieuwe Telen , ' which change they produce , whether they can avoid leak in equipment and whether other pocket-size maintenance is call for . Another enquiry is whether they will be get with an ( extra ) fixed moving-picture show this winter and whether frequency controls will be used on ventilators . Then switch to a larger part of sustainable vigor as much as potential . Are there , for representative , possible action for the use of heat ticker , residual or geothermic heat , the installation of solar panel , dissimilar light , and dissimilar lighting strategies?Finally , the rest heat demand that is satisfied by lifelike gas must be purchased in the most price - witting way potential and used as efficiently as possible . What risk reportage is desirable and acceptable now and in the long run so as not to threaten business continuity ? In any case , make scenarios for several external circumstances : unretentive and long periods of high accelerator and/or electrical energy prices , new subsidy schemes , a tender scheme for disconnection , and more .
In recitation , the bank notes that some greenhouse farmers already have a clear plan in mind . They now give antecedence to investments in sustainability - such as solar panels on basin , dehumidifiers , LED instead of HPS lamps , extra screen , and connection to geothermal and residual heating - over investment in the expansion of acreage or robotization / automation .
accessibility of some cut blossom could become a problemThe cut flush sector has many different products . The special flowers , in peculiar , are often produce on smaller nursery farm . These companies are more often equip with just a boiler and no CHP . In addition , pocket-size companies use less flatulency overall and have purchased less in advance . As a result , these cultivator are more potential to reduce , put over or even stop yield .
And that is where the trouble lie for the wholesale trade in flowers and plants . In various places , the accessibility of a across-the-board range of product will come under pressure next wintertime . sweeping parties that have previously secured these products do not repent this now , although growers can still ask to be relinquish from rescue . On the other helping hand , the reduce supply may cause the cost to shine less rapidly if the consumer keep their hand on their purse more often because they have less to spend .
Open field horticulture less under pressureThe energy situation is urgent for nursery horticulture and draw it to playact . Of course , increase vim toll also touch the results of outdoor gardening , if only because of high-pitched prices for artificial fertilizer and diesel for irrigation . Yet other take are also important there .
In bloom bulb cultivation , the spring bulbs have been harvested , and there was a practiced harvest with good progress sales . It is estimated that around 70 % of the lilies harvested this autumn have already been betray in mid - July at good prices . Nevertheless , after the effective beginning , the market has now become somewhat hesitant . The mood for 2023 is less confirming . The warfare in Ukraine has already lasted six months , and logistics costs have risen sharply . In tulip and lily grow , the main doubt is whether the increased cost can be passed on sufficiently next year and how the sales - which went to Russia and Ukraine - can be turned around . lessen purchasing mogul can also moderate to less sales . In our purview , this endangerment is small for tulips - a brassy flower - than for lilies .
The bank also briefly touches upon the fruit and tree sphere . say the intact analysis here ( in Dutch ) .
